PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ (PGR) stock score and earnings-call analysis

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ (PGR) has a MarketKingdoms composite score of 63.4 (B-), an B-range rating. It ranks 983rd of 1,866 covered companies, 171st of 330 in Financial (sector average 62.8) and 17th of 32 in Insurance - Property & Casualty. Scores as of 2026-10-25.

Its strongest lenses are KPI momentum at 88 (Financial average 75) and Stock selection at 80 (Financial average 77). Its weakest lenses are Expansion (growth) at 32 (sector average 51) and Price (valuation) at 41 (sector average 52).

Lens scores

PGR lens scores (0–100) against its sector and industry
LensTypePGRFinancial averageInsurance - Property & Casualty averagePercentile in sector
Industry opportunityResearch signal71767129th
Stock selectionResearch signal80777662nd
KPI momentumResearch signal88757588th
Catalyst watchResearch signal5169656th
Price (valuation)Fundamental lens41524632nd
Expansion (growth)Fundamental lens32514913th
Quality (profitability)Fundamental lens72495885th
Trend (momentum)Fundamental lens55495657th

Latest earnings call

The most recent call analysed was held on 2026-08-04 (fiscal 2026 Q2). After it the composite moved from 75.5 to 74.6. MarketKingdoms checks what management promised on each call against what it later delivered.

Recent score changes after earnings events

The composite at the time of each event; today's composite is 63.4.

Valuation and risk

The stock's valuation gap is +3.8%: its price is in line with the path its market, sector and industry moves explain. Factor sensitivity: market beta 0.73, sector beta -0.30, industry beta 1.13; the factor model explains 39% of its moves (R²).

Insurance - Property & Casualty peers

CompanyCompositeGradeValuation gap
Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. (SLDE)76.0A-+28.8%
HCI Group, Inc. (HCI)73.0B++3.5%
TRAVELERS COMPANIES, INC. (TRV)72.2B+-3.9%
UNITED FIRE GROUP INC (UFCS)72.1B+-3.4%
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG)71.9B+-12.1%
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. (UVE)71.1B+-0.3%
HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC. (THG)69.2B-6.1%
ALLSTATE CORP (ALL)69.1B-9.2%

Near PGR in the overall ranking

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ financial statements · Financial sector ranking · Insurance - Property & Casualty industry ranking · All covered companies

How MarketKingdoms scores companies

The composite score (0–100, graded A+ to D-) blends research signals from each earnings call with fundamental lenses from SEC filings and market prices. Research signals: Industry opportunity, Stock selection, KPI momentum and Catalyst watch, read from what management said and whether it delivered. Fundamental lenses: Price (valuation), Expansion (growth), Quality (profitability) and Trend (momentum). Scores are recalculated every night and after every earnings call. The valuation gap compares the actual price path with the path the stock's market, sector and industry moves explain; it is a model comparison, not a fair-value estimate.

General information, not investment advice.