Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) stock score and earnings-call analysis

Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) has a MarketKingdoms composite score of 56.6 (C+), an C-range rating. It ranks 1506th of 1,866 covered companies, 170th of 243 in Consumer Cyclical (sector average 61.1) and 3rd of 13 in Residential Construction. Scores as of 2026-10-26.

Its strongest lenses are Stock selection at 80 (Consumer Cyclical average 75) and KPI momentum at 75 (Consumer Cyclical average 70). Its weakest lenses are Expansion (growth) at 25 (sector average 51) and Industry opportunity at 45 (sector average 69).

Lens scores

TOL lens scores (0–100) against its sector and industry
LensTypeTOLConsumer Cyclical averageResidential Construction averagePercentile in sector
Industry opportunityResearch signal4569455th
Stock selectionResearch signal80756674th
KPI momentumResearch signal75705158th
Catalyst watchResearch signal72716647th
Price (valuation)Fundamental lens75505986th
Expansion (growth)Fundamental lens25512610th
Quality (profitability)Fundamental lens55494956th
Trend (momentum)Fundamental lens59505462nd

Latest earnings call

The most recent call analysed was held on 2026-08-19 (fiscal 2026 Q3). MarketKingdoms checks what management promised on each call against what it later delivered.

Valuation and risk

The stock's valuation gap is +3.4%: its price is in line with the path its market, sector and industry moves explain. Factor sensitivity: market beta 1.11, sector beta 0.19, industry beta 0.67; the factor model explains 85% of its moves (R²).

Residential Construction peers

CompanyCompositeGradeValuation gap
Champion Homes Inc. (SKY)60.6B--11.4%
Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC)58.5B-—
D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI)52.6C++1.0%
Tri Pointe Homes Inc. (TPH)51.5C—
Green Brick Partners Inc. (GRBK)51.3C+3.2%
Cavco Industries Inc. (CVCO)50.8C-17.7%
Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP)46.7C-16.4%
Meritage Homes Corp. (MTH)46.6C-3.8%

Near TOL in the overall ranking

Toll Brothers Inc. financial statements · Consumer Cyclical sector ranking · Residential Construction industry ranking · All covered companies

How MarketKingdoms scores companies

The composite score (0–100, graded A+ to D-) blends research signals from each earnings call with fundamental lenses from SEC filings and market prices. Research signals: Industry opportunity, Stock selection, KPI momentum and Catalyst watch, read from what management said and whether it delivered. Fundamental lenses: Price (valuation), Expansion (growth), Quality (profitability) and Trend (momentum). Scores are recalculated every night and after every earnings call. The valuation gap compares the actual price path with the path the stock's market, sector and industry moves explain; it is a model comparison, not a fair-value estimate.

General information, not investment advice.