Alcoa Corp (AA) stock score and earnings-call analysis

Alcoa Corp (AA) has a MarketKingdoms composite score of 67.9 (B), an B-range rating. It ranks 519th of 1,866 covered companies, 32nd of 135 in Basic Materials (sector average 62.2) and 4th of 4 in Aluminum. Scores as of 2026-10-25.

Its strongest lenses are Industry opportunity at 87 (Basic Materials average 70) and Stock selection at 80 (Basic Materials average 76). Its weakest lenses are Trend (momentum) at 25 (sector average 52) and Expansion (growth) at 42 (sector average 52).

Lens scores

AA lens scores (0–100) against its sector and industry
LensTypeAABasic Materials averageAluminum averagePercentile in sector
Industry opportunityResearch signal877087100th
Stock selectionResearch signal80768169th
KPI momentumResearch signal72737944th
Catalyst watchResearch signal78717890th
Price (valuation)Fundamental lens73547881st
Expansion (growth)Fundamental lens42526938th
Quality (profitability)Fundamental lens54506055th
Trend (momentum)Fundamental lens25523416th

Latest earnings call

The most recent call analysed was held on 2026-10-15 (fiscal 2026 Q3). After it the composite moved from 85.4 to 83.1. MarketKingdoms checks what management promised on each call against what it later delivered.

Recent score changes after earnings events

The composite at the time of each event; today's composite is 67.9.

Valuation and risk

The stock's valuation gap is -5.1%: its price is below the path its market, sector and industry moves explain (undervalued versus the model path). Factor sensitivity: market beta 0.47, sector beta 0.58, industry beta 0.52; the factor model explains 58% of its moves (R²).

Aluminum peers

CompanyCompositeGradeValuation gap
Constellium SE (CSTM)76.6A--10.7%
Century Aluminum Co (CENX)73.7B+-13.3%
Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU)69.3B-20.5%

Near AA in the overall ranking

Alcoa Corp financial statements · Basic Materials sector ranking · Aluminum industry ranking · All covered companies

How MarketKingdoms scores companies

The composite score (0–100, graded A+ to D-) blends research signals from each earnings call with fundamental lenses from SEC filings and market prices. Research signals: Industry opportunity, Stock selection, KPI momentum and Catalyst watch, read from what management said and whether it delivered. Fundamental lenses: Price (valuation), Expansion (growth), Quality (profitability) and Trend (momentum). Scores are recalculated every night and after every earnings call. The valuation gap compares the actual price path with the path the stock's market, sector and industry moves explain; it is a model comparison, not a fair-value estimate.

General information, not investment advice.